We derive our target price of NT$1,050 for Airtac by using a P/E methodology, as we believe the margin and earnings growth outlooks will be the key drivers of the stock. We apply a P/E of 25x for 2025E, which is on par with the stock's historical average.
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Key downside risks that could impede the Airtac stock from reaching our target price include: 1) a softer-than-expected China macro economy, resulting in downside to our sales forecasts; 2) intensifying competition leading to gross margin pressures; and 3) slower-than-expected progress of its linear guide business, causing low utilization of capacity.
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