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Valuation & Risks ( CCH.L ) Disclosure / Price Chart(s) / Valuation & Risk
Fundamental Equity Research

Our target price of 4000p is set using a combination of DCF and PE multiples. Key assumptions in our DCF include an 7.7% WACC and a 3.9% risk-free rate, while in our PE valuation we apply a 19.6x FY26E PE on the non-Russia business which is in-line with wider Consumer Staples ex-Tobacco, and we apply a 10x FY26E PE on the Russia earnings – reflecting improving investor sentiment towards the group’s Russia assets.


Key risks that could prevent the achievement of our target price include: (1) better or worse consumer demand in the main markets, relative to our expectations; (2) higher- or lower-than-expected commodity costs, for example sugar and PET; (3) good or bad weather in key markets; (4) implementation of tax increases or other regulatory changes that target soft drinks; (5) non-alignment of strategic, financial and operational goals with The Coca-Cola Company, which supplies concentrate and central marketing, impeding CCH from achieving its own growth targets; (6) transactional FX risks; and (7) CCH could do transformational M&A that could result in upgrades to our estimates, however this may not materialise, potentially leading to some P/E de-rating.

 

 

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