We see the following risks to our target price: A slowdown in the Dutch housing market could have a negative impact on NII and loan losses. A rise in unemployment could result in a deterioration of the loan book and hence an increase in impairments. Widening credit spreads may result in a negative impact on ABN book value as a result. These risks could prevent the shares from reaching our target price. If the risks turn out to be more benign than expected, the share price may exceed our target price.
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