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Valuation & Risks ( ABOS ) Disclosure / Price Chart(s) / Valuation & Risk
Fundamental Equity Research
Our TP is $4 based on a DCF-derived intrinsic value using a WACC of 13.5% and 1% terminal growth rate. We project free cash flow out to 2032 and thereafter apply terminal growth assumptions.

We rate Acumen as High Risk based on the usual volatility of biotech stocks and uncertainty/risk related to clinical trials, late-stage drug development, and regulatory decisions.  

We acknowledge multiple risks to our investment thesis and TP. On the upside, we note: 1) strong commercial launch of sabirnetug upon approval, 2) better than expected clinical trial results. On the downside, we note: 1) commercial competition for AD, and 2) clinical trial failures.

 

 

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