We use a 14x 2025E PE to value Autohome, which is at a slight discount to other leading internet peers given slower earnings growth, and derive a target price of US$27. We believe a forward PE approach is appropriate given Autohome's track record in earnings, and the PE multiple properly benchmarks the earnings CAGR of Autohome vs. its peers.
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Any of these risk factors could cause the shares to deviate from our target price: better-than-expected auto media business, less-than-expected competition and issuance of special dividend, worse-than-expected auto media business, stronger-than-expected competition, and setbacks on new strategies.
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